Sunday, September 6, 2009

El Nino and the upcoming Winter

We haven't seen a summer like the one we've just been through for awhile. 1997 comes to mind for me, and as I've mentioned in previous blogs, we keep hearing that an El Nino is building, and people wonder if that's where the extra rainfall came from.

From the data we have available, the answer is still "NO". El Nino doesn't influence North America in Summer or Fall. It's in the Winter and Spring that we feel the effects, but not necessarily in Colorado.

I just looked at the long-term projections for this Winter and Spring in terms of temperature and precipitation. Admittedly, I wouldn't bet my life on the accuracy of the long-term computer output (it's getting better, but not where we'd like it to be yet), but it's convinced that we'll have "average" temperature and precipitation...as opposed to the Farmer's Almanac, which is convinced that we'll have a "don't touch your tongue to a metal light pole" Winter.

Only time will tell...it will be fun to watch.

No comments:

Post a Comment